Track Record
FB 4 (+5%) Z 9.76 (+10%) SCTY 5.25 (+11%) DD 2.65 (+4%) DVN -4.5 (-7%) TAN 4 (+12%) FEYE 4.2 (+17%) PEIX 2.2 (+23%) IBB 12 (+4%) QQQ 5.5 (+6%) SPY 9 (+5%) NTAP 2.51 (+6%) BIDU 12.54 (+6%) IYT 6.4 (+4%) SGG 2.33 (+5%) Options: MCP 0.23 (+57%) PSX -3.91 (-5%) BIDU 10 (+5%) SMH 1.82 (+4%) SYMC 1.13 (+5%) URBN 2.28 (+5%) Options: SWN 0.22 (+22%) SDRL -3.39 (-11%) CORN -3.02 (-11%) TMUS 1.23 (+4%) SWN -3.76 (-9%) SINA 0.25 (+1%) NUS 3 (+7%) CLF 1.31 (+9%) DNDN 0.22 (+16%) LUV -3.3 (-11%) CGA 0.6 (+20%) S 0.52 (+9%) X 2.45 (+6%) PHO 1.25 (+5%) FXE -2.95 (-2%) VXX 0.57 (+2%) YHOO 2.05 (+6%) DIS -6.2 (-7%) VXX 2.1 (+7%) SINA 2.4 (+4%) EWG 0.94 (+3%) BRK.B -5.1 (-4%) SPY 0.56 (+1%) Options: WFM 0.41 (+16%) EWC 1 (+3%) HIMX 0.57 (+9%) CVX 1.55 (+1%) UNG 0.07 (0%) Options: HPQ 0.3 (+34%) MMM 2.2 (+2%) FXC 0.6 (+1%) TBT -4.92 (-8%) IYT 4.3 (+2%) USO 0.62 (+1%) AXP -3.37 (-3%) CMG -77.75 (-13%) QCOM 3.55 (+4%) ORLY 3.9 (+3%) KO -1.74 (-4%) SNDK 10.65 (+10%) MA 3.42 (+5%) IBB 11.5 (+4%) CSCO 0.22 (+1%) RDY 3.36 (+8%) HDGE -0.57 (-5%) DD 2.4 (+4%) Options: CVX 0.18 (+12%) MU 0.8 (+2%) INTC -1.99 (-7%) VXX -5.5 (-15%) CLF 0.34 (+2%) FB -6.34 (-11%) TJX 0.78 (+1%) BA 4.9 (+4%) Options: IYT 0.4 (+26%) Options: DAL 1.05 (+100%) IYT -8.9 (-6%) CVX 2.2 (+2%) GE -0.48 (-2%) TWTR 2 (+6%) UNH 3.24 (+4%) TSN 2.2 (+5%) IWM 6.3 (+5%) WHR 8 (+5%) VXX -4.05 (-10%) FEYE -9.35 (-26%) CRM 2.64 (+5%) DANG 1.05 (+10%) WFM 0.51 (+1%) QCOM 4.35 (+5%) IBB 22 (+10%) NFLX 22 (+7%) SH 0.27 (+1%) IWM 5.35 (+5%) RIG 0.63 (+2%) MOS 0.77 (+2%) VXX 2.3 (+6%) NFLX 16.4 (+5%) GLD 1.75 (+1%) COG 1.07 (+2%) LNKD 17 (+11%) P 2.35 (+9%) VXX 2.2 (+5%) DDD 4.67 (+8%) FDX 2.46 (+2%) YHOO 3.6 (+9%) ADBE 2.62 (+4%) WDC -7.75 (-9%) PCLN 51 (+4%) FB 5.65 (+8%) AUY -1.34 (-13%) JJC 0.56 (+1%) SPY 1.6 (+1%) USO 0.37 (+1%) JO 3 (+8%) PCLN 42 (+3%) GILD 7.5 (+9%) PLUG 0.6 (+10%) PRGO -13.3 (-9%) VXX 2.4 (+5%) CORN 1.75 (+6%) BBBY 2.53 (+4%) TGT 0.00 (0%) HAL 0.4 (+1%) FCX 0.66 (+2%) MCP 0.32 (+7%) SINA 3 (+5%) PBR 0.56 (+5%) BA 5 (+4%) JCP -1.35 (-21%) PCLN 25 (+2%) BA 2 (+2%) ANF 2.3 (+7%) F 0.76 (+4%) AMZN 15 (+4%) VXX 3 (+7%) YHOO 2.17 (+5%) WYNN 3 (+2%) HAL 0.25 (+1%) AUY 0.6 (+7%) ROSG 0.95 (+30%) SINA -6.24 (-7%) TWTR 12 (+17%) ABIO 0.67 (+43%) CCXI 1 (+19%) TWGP 0.72 (+29%) TWTR 2.5 (+3%) NEWL 0.3 (+17%) WPRT -1.25 (-6%) ECTE 0.58 (+21%) FB 4.11 (+9%) CELG -15.66 (-10%)


Rant & Rave Blog

Hidden Gems Play KOOL Runs 60% In A Week. Last Months Run 100% In A Week. Join The Research Center!

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Sunday, June 07, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Hidden Gems Play KOOL Runs 60% In A Week. Last Months Run 100% In A Week. Join The Research Center!

RealTick graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. ©1986-2009 Townsend Analytics, Ltd. All Rights Reserved. RealTick is a registered trademark of Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
ALL BUSINESS: Bond-market rout boosts mortgage rates, undermining economic prospects

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Friday, June 05, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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ALL BUSINESS: Bond-market rout boosts mortgage rates, undermining economic prospectsNEW YORK (AP) -- The Federal Reserve announced a $1.2 trillion plan three months ago designed to push down mortgage rates and breathe life into the housing market.

But this and other big government spending programs are turning out to have the opposite effect. Rates for mortgages and U.S. Treasury debt are now marching higher as nervous bond investors fret about a resurgence of inflation.

That's the Catch-22 threatening to make an awful housing market potentially worse and keep the economy stuck in a funk. Kick-starting the economy requires higher spending, but rising rates mean fewer Americans will be able to refinance their home loans. And some potential buyers will be shut out of the market by higher monthly payments they won't be able to afford.

To understand how this is all connected, you have to think like a bond trader. Inflation is their enemy because it means the purchasing power of the dollars they receive when bonds eventually are paid off will be diminished. The only question is by how much.

Yields on 10-year Treasury notes, a benchmark for home mortgages and other consumers loans, jumped from 2.5 percent in March around the time of the Fed announcement to as high as 3.7 percent in recent days as signs that efforts to stabilize the financial system and economy were starting to pay off. And 30-year mortgage rates jumped more than a quarter-point this week to 5.29 percent, the highest level since December, Freddie Mac reported.
"If the meltdown continues in the bond market, then mortgage yields will soon be at levels that choke off refinancing activity," said economist Ed Yardeni, who runs his own investment firm. "Even worse, they could abort any necessary recovery in home sales and prices."

Yardeni coined the term "bond vigilantes" in 1983 to describe how traders took matters into their own hands when they felt the Fed wasn't doing enough to fight inflation, which was running at an annual rate of more than 3 percent at that time.

So what has set off the vigilantes this spring, at a time when the consumer price index is down at an annual rate of 0.7 percent?

One explanation is that bond investors anticipate a greater supply of government debt being sold to fund federal spending. Investors are also increasingly fearful that the trillions of dollars the government will need to borrow in the coming years to finance the various stimulus programs will lead to a new bout of inflation.

The White House estimates that the government will rack up an unprecedented $1.8 trillion budget deficit this year -- more than four times last year's all-time high.

"The bond market is calling the Federal Reserve out," said Mike Larson, a real estate analyst at Weiss Research Inc. in Jupiter, Fla. "Investors are saying that the Fed can't just print money out of thin air to finance a massive deficit."

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke acknowledged Wednesday in congressional testimony that large budget deficits could threaten financial stability by eventually eroding investor confidence and endangering the economy's prospects for long-term health.

"Even as we take steps to address the recession and threats to financial stability, maintaining the confidence of the financial markets requires that we, as a nation, begin planning now for the restoration of fiscal balance," Bernanke told the House Budget Committee.

That kind of talk is meant to calm bond investors' nerves. It also shows the quandary faced by Bernanke and other federal officials. They need to hold down interest rates through massive government spending at the same time they have to deal with worries over how that spending could damage the economy over the long term.

After Fed policymakers this spring said they would buy billions of dollars of government debt and more than $1 trillion of mortgage securities, 30-year fixed mortgage rates fell to 4.78 percent in April, the lowest since Freddie Mac started surveying rates in 1971.

Sales of new and existing homes began to trend higher. Mortgage refinancings also jumped, allowing borrowers to lock in lower rates. Fee income from this activity helped lift profits at many battered banks and gave consumers more disposable income to spend, which helped lift their confidence about the economy's prospects. All that was good for the nation's businesses.

But now, surging mortgage rates are threatening to undermine all that. Seventy percent of refinancing activity could be knocked out as rates close in on 5.5 percent, according to Mark Hanson, a managing director at the independent research firm Field Check Group of Menlo Park, Calif.

That's because homeowners wouldn't get much of a benefit if a refinancing only reduces monthly payments a tiny bit while they are stuck paying closing costs that typically run about 2 percent of the loan amount.

Also, many homeowners who wanted to refinance didn't lock in the super-low rates in April when the refi boom took off. "Half the deals in the pipeline are dead," Hanson said. "People were applying to refinance to improve their situation, but now they are seeing it won't be much improved."

All this means that even though mortgage rates are still low by historical standards, many of the trends that seem to be pointing to economic recovery in recent months could be undone fast.

Rachel Beck is the national business columnist for The Associated Press. Write to her at rbeck(at)ap.org

* Rachel Beck, AP Business Writer
* On Saturday June 6, 2009, 8:40 am EDT


http://finance.yahoo.com/news/ALL-BUSINESS-Bondmarket-rout-apf-15457158.html?sec=topStories&pos=main&asset=&ccode=


Weekend Technical Analysis Video - US Dollar And Rates Take Center Stage

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Friday, June 05, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Weekend Technical Analysis Video - US Dollar And Rates Take Center Stage

RealTick graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. ©1986-2009 Townsend Analytics, Ltd. All Rights Reserved. RealTick is a registered trademark of Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Futures Higher Before U.S. Jobs Data

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Thursday, June 04, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Futures Higher Before U.S. Jobs DataU.S. stock futures are trading slightly higher on Friday, cautiously rising on hopesthat key jobsfigures will support an economic recovery. The focus of theday will be nonfarm payroll data at 8:30a.m. Economists expect that the economy lost 500,000 jobs in May.
Futures Rip Higher On Jobs Data...Unemployment Sits At 9.4%

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Thursday, June 04, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Futures Rip Higher On Jobs Data...Unemployment Sits At 9.4%Loss of jobs for the month of May came in much less than expected at under 400k.  Unemployment rate jumped more than the concensus of 9.2%...coming in at 9.4%.


RealTick graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. ©1986-2009 Townsend Analytics, Ltd. All Rights Reserved. RealTick is a registered trademark of Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Oil Futures Hit Seven Month High

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Thursday, June 04, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Oil Futures Hit Seven Month HighOil futures rose above$70 a barrel for the firsttime in seven months after the labor department reported 345,000 payroll jobs were lost much lower than the expected 500,000. Crude oil for July delivery rose $1.19 to $70.02 a barrel.
QQQQ's HITTING MAJOR RESISTANCE LEVELS THIS MORNING

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Thursday, June 04, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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QQQQ's HITTING MAJOR RESISTANCE LEVELS THIS MORNING
Markets Jump Higher Only To Drop And Fill The Gap

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Thursday, June 04, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Markets Jump Higher Only To Drop And Fill The Gap
The market gapped higher and stayed there for the first 10 minute candle. Most likely short covering keeping it higher as people went into panic mode following the jobs report.  However, after that we have seen a monster drop in one 10 minute candle on the SPY to gap fill support.  Note a bounce should happen.  This is where we start to look for pattern to tell us where the next move will be.  The dollar is the key here.  Dollar jumping big to the upside putting pressure on all commodities.


RealTick graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. ©1986-2009 Townsend Analytics, Ltd. All Rights Reserved. RealTick is a registered trademark of Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Oil Turns Lower After Big Run Up

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Thursday, June 04, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Oil Turns Lower After Big Run UpOil futures turned lower after hitting $70 a barrel on Friday on the good jobs data. But they have pulled back to $68 a barrel.
The Dollar Jumps Taking A Bite Out Of Jobs Data Rally

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Thursday, June 04, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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The Dollar Jumps Taking A Bite Out Of Jobs Data RallyThe dollar spiked higher today killing commodity prices and dropping the markets from their gap higher.  The market has come in extremely hard here initially.  Key levels have been taken out to the downside.

RealTick graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. ©1986-2009 Townsend Analytics, Ltd. All Rights Reserved. RealTick is a registered trademark of Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
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