Track Record
FB 4 (+5%) Z 9.76 (+10%) SCTY 5.25 (+11%) DD 2.65 (+4%) DVN -4.5 (-7%) TAN 4 (+12%) FEYE 4.2 (+17%) PEIX 2.2 (+23%) IBB 12 (+4%) QQQ 5.5 (+6%) SPY 9 (+5%) NTAP 2.51 (+6%) BIDU 12.54 (+6%) IYT 6.4 (+4%) SGG 2.33 (+5%) Options: MCP 0.23 (+57%) PSX -3.91 (-5%) BIDU 10 (+5%) SMH 1.82 (+4%) SYMC 1.13 (+5%) URBN 2.28 (+5%) Options: SWN 0.22 (+22%) SDRL -3.39 (-11%) CORN -3.02 (-11%) TMUS 1.23 (+4%) SWN -3.76 (-9%) SINA 0.25 (+1%) NUS 3 (+7%) CLF 1.31 (+9%) DNDN 0.22 (+16%) LUV -3.3 (-11%) CGA 0.6 (+20%) S 0.52 (+9%) X 2.45 (+6%) PHO 1.25 (+5%) FXE -2.95 (-2%) VXX 0.57 (+2%) YHOO 2.05 (+6%) DIS -6.2 (-7%) VXX 2.1 (+7%) SINA 2.4 (+4%) EWG 0.94 (+3%) BRK.B -5.1 (-4%) SPY 0.56 (+1%) Options: WFM 0.41 (+16%) EWC 1 (+3%) HIMX 0.57 (+9%) CVX 1.55 (+1%) UNG 0.07 (0%) Options: HPQ 0.3 (+34%) MMM 2.2 (+2%) FXC 0.6 (+1%) TBT -4.92 (-8%) IYT 4.3 (+2%) USO 0.62 (+1%) AXP -3.37 (-3%) CMG -77.75 (-13%) QCOM 3.55 (+4%) ORLY 3.9 (+3%) KO -1.74 (-4%) SNDK 10.65 (+10%) MA 3.42 (+5%) IBB 11.5 (+4%) CSCO 0.22 (+1%) RDY 3.36 (+8%) HDGE -0.57 (-5%) DD 2.4 (+4%) Options: CVX 0.18 (+12%) MU 0.8 (+2%) INTC -1.99 (-7%) VXX -5.5 (-15%) CLF 0.34 (+2%) FB -6.34 (-11%) TJX 0.78 (+1%) BA 4.9 (+4%) Options: IYT 0.4 (+26%) Options: DAL 1.05 (+100%) IYT -8.9 (-6%) CVX 2.2 (+2%) GE -0.48 (-2%) TWTR 2 (+6%) UNH 3.24 (+4%) TSN 2.2 (+5%) IWM 6.3 (+5%) WHR 8 (+5%) VXX -4.05 (-10%) FEYE -9.35 (-26%) CRM 2.64 (+5%) DANG 1.05 (+10%) WFM 0.51 (+1%) QCOM 4.35 (+5%) IBB 22 (+10%) NFLX 22 (+7%) SH 0.27 (+1%) IWM 5.35 (+5%) RIG 0.63 (+2%) MOS 0.77 (+2%) VXX 2.3 (+6%) NFLX 16.4 (+5%) GLD 1.75 (+1%) COG 1.07 (+2%) LNKD 17 (+11%) P 2.35 (+9%) VXX 2.2 (+5%) DDD 4.67 (+8%) FDX 2.46 (+2%) YHOO 3.6 (+9%) ADBE 2.62 (+4%) WDC -7.75 (-9%) PCLN 51 (+4%) FB 5.65 (+8%) AUY -1.34 (-13%) JJC 0.56 (+1%) SPY 1.6 (+1%) USO 0.37 (+1%) JO 3 (+8%) PCLN 42 (+3%) GILD 7.5 (+9%) PLUG 0.6 (+10%) PRGO -13.3 (-9%) VXX 2.4 (+5%) CORN 1.75 (+6%) BBBY 2.53 (+4%) TGT 0.00 (0%) HAL 0.4 (+1%) FCX 0.66 (+2%) MCP 0.32 (+7%) SINA 3 (+5%) PBR 0.56 (+5%) BA 5 (+4%) JCP -1.35 (-21%) PCLN 25 (+2%) BA 2 (+2%) ANF 2.3 (+7%) F 0.76 (+4%) AMZN 15 (+4%) VXX 3 (+7%) YHOO 2.17 (+5%) WYNN 3 (+2%) HAL 0.25 (+1%) AUY 0.6 (+7%) ROSG 0.95 (+30%) SINA -6.24 (-7%) TWTR 12 (+17%) ABIO 0.67 (+43%) CCXI 1 (+19%) TWGP 0.72 (+29%) TWTR 2.5 (+3%) NEWL 0.3 (+17%) WPRT -1.25 (-6%) ECTE 0.58 (+21%) FB 4.11 (+9%) CELG -15.66 (-10%)


Rant & Rave Blog

Come Join The Ranks Of The Elite!

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Sunday, September 13, 2009, 08:00PM ET

Read 153 times

Come Join The Ranks Of The Elite!
Chart Analysis + The Manipulation Factor

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Saturday, September 12, 2009, 08:00PM ET

Read 148 times

Chart Analysis + The Manipulation FactorAs the dollar headed south over the last 6 months, many wondered if it was about to collapse. Hedge funds, mutual fund managers, individual traders and investors had and are still short the dollar. The rally since March has coincided directly with the fall in the dollar. The yearly highs on the dollar were made in the first week of March and sure enough, the low of 666 on the S&P was also hit in the first week of March. Clearly, the rally has been a re inflation rally but there are other factors at work. The Federal Reserve has been a direct culprit of weakening the dollar. Believe it or not the dollar's drop was an obvious method of the Federal Reserve and possibly the PPT (Plunge Protection Team) to stop the markets from collapsing.


While technical analysis provides us with almost every major and minor move of the markets, oil, gold and the US Dollar, common analysis of motives of the Federal Reserve must also be analyzed. This adds a new dimension to confirm and solidify the technicals. We all know the Federal Reserve has been printing money, trillions in fact. Money to buy bonds, bailout banks, stimulus packages and more. However, it goes even deeper. Ever since the run up in the markets dating back to 2006 to 2007, oil stocks and other commodities have been added to the S&P 500. The weighting has increased more and more. This has made it so the market's overall are tied extremely tightly to the price of oil and other commodities. Therefore, the price of commodities is directly related to the levels of the S&P and other indexes. To manipulate the price of commodities higher would have a direct bailout effect on the markets. When oil is higher, the markets are higher.


Knowing this, it is no wonder that when the dollar topped out in March, the markets also bottomed. The Federal Reserve has a direct impact on the dollar. They are the printers or the money tree of the markets and the United States. This, alongside the bailouts and stimulus packages (which are both dilutive and cause the markets to drop) were bullets in their gun to help the markets regain their strength.


The problem is, it is a double edged sword. While causing the dollar to fall in the near term has helped the markets regain their mojo, it can have very detrimental effects. Our country is financed by other countries as they buy our debt. This is seen in the form of bond auctions where the interest paid is on the rise. If the dollar is losing value rapidly, other countries do not want to buy our debt. This is mainly due to the fact that in 10 years, 20 years or 30 years, these countries expect the dollar to be valued much lower based on the current drop priced out over those longer time periods. The only way they will buy the debt is if a higher interest rate is paid making up for the dollar's drop plus a profit. So, while a dropping dollar is great for the markets in the near term, if the money flow is turned off, we could spiral into a new liquidity problem even worse than what we saw in late 2008 and early 2009.


Now looking closely at the dollar recently, InTheMoneyStocks Chief Market Strategists saw a major technical support level on the dollar. On the UUP (dollar ETF) it was at $23.00-$23.05. This happened to be a major pivot from 2008. Closer calculations revealed it was a monstrous support level and cycle level as well. While this was a dead on indicator that the dollar was about to bounce, the Manipulation Factor confirmed it. What was this manipulation factor? As the dollar approached the major 2008 support level, Chief Market Strategists also realized that in the coming days there was a 3 year, 10 year and 30 year auction. There was no way the Federal Reserve was going to let the dollar continue to collapse into this auction. Why not? Because foreign countries, our debt buyers would be less inclined to bid on it in a free fall. In other words, push the dollar higher into the auctions to increase the likelihood of buyers willing to purchase the bonds for a lower interest rate.


Sure enough the dollar rallied on the InTheMoneyStocks call. This new factor, the Manipulation Factor must be used in conjunction with technical analysis. It is a great confirming indicator and can truly help one make profits. Look at the bigger picture; it was clear as a bell in this case.


Learn the game. Nothing is as it seems but a well educated investor can be aware and avoid the traps even profiting from the Manipulation Indicator.



By Gareth Soloway,
Chief Market Strategist
InTheMoneyStocks.com
The Leader In Market Technical Guidance




Futures Begin The Session Slightly Lower

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Saturday, September 12, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Futures Begin The Session Slightly LowerThe S&P Futures opening lower today after a pause day in the markets on Friday.  Last week was the shortened holiday week and had very light volume.  Overall, the markets inched higher, carried mostly by financials.  Commodity stocks also move higher until Friday when oil was hit hard.  Gold closed last week over $1,000 and should be watched closely.  S&P futures are -3.00 currently.
Futures Trading Sharply Lower Sunday Night On Extremely Light Volume

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Saturday, September 12, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Futures Trading Sharply Lower Sunday Night On Extremely Light VolumeS&P Futures -9.00.  Japan is trading slightly lower, down just less than 1%.  China will open shortly.  Watch the dollar this week.
Volume, The Underutilized Voice Of Market Direction

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Friday, September 11, 2009, 08:00PM ET

Read 170 times

Volume, The Underutilized Voice Of Market DirectionThe Pro Traders at ITMS utilize a set of tools that enable them to remain on the right side of the trade more often than not. The understanding of volume is an important tool in their trading kit. Unlike most indicators and oscillators, volume is real time and does not lag. Therefore, it must be incorporated, and considered on all time frames, for all trades.


The Chart below displays how a long period of gains on light volume preceded a large decline in February of 2007. As the Pro Traders say, light volume always favors the upside. Interestingly today, Tuesday, September 8th, 2009, was the lightest volume of the year and the last month has been the lightest trading volume in the last couple years in total. Watch for the direction in this market when true volume returns. That could be the real key to where this market is headed.





 
There is only one way to be the best, learn from them!

Research Center = PROFITS!!

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Thursday, September 10, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Research Center = PROFITS!!
The Numbers Do Lie – Corporate America Trying To Pull The Wool Over Your Eyes

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Thursday, September 10, 2009, 08:00PM ET

Read 1118 times

The Numbers Do Lie – Corporate America Trying To Pull The Wool Over Your EyesAs earnings season is now in full swing, I cannot help but analyze the earnings results from countless companies. So far the markets have rallied 10% in just the last two weeks. Most earnings have blown through estimates. It has been a meteoric rise, the markets blasting up through the double top from mid June. Things seem to be rosy once more on Wall Street. Talk of a recovery, V-bottom and the next monster bull market are now spewing from the media.

Be afraid. Main Street is having a major disconnect from Wall Street. Along with Wall Street, our government, Federal Reserve and the media are too blame. The wool is been pulled over your eyes!

While the markets continue to soar, I sit back and shutter. Why you ask? Because for those of us that really analyze the numbers, it is a very scary thing to behold. For the common investor, they will simply look at the earnings per share and do their P/E calculations. This tells them whether or not a stock is cheap relative to the S&P historic multiples. If it were only that simple these days.... Accounting changes for financial firms have given them the ability to knock the earnings out of the park. Recently, JP Morgan Chase (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS) both blew away estimates. However, does anyone really wonder what the accounting changes actually did to these numbers? Why AIG was saved? Or look at the credit card defaults and risk these companies face going forward? Or better yet, does anyone note the new risks companies like Goldman Sachs are now undertaking in order to turn such big profits? I continue to shutter. The next disaster may be in the works.

While the financial companies are in a league of their own when it comes to earnings, I am here to discuss the earnings of other companies, non financial firms.

What has me so scared for the next two years? While most companies are blowing out earnings per share (EPS) numbers, they are missing on revenue. So how are they able to beat on earnings but then miss on revenue? Simple. Cutting costs. Now think about this. How are they cutting costs? Obviously, as the unemployment numbers tell us, they are cutting jobs. In addition, they are cutting out projects that were not profitable, buying less inventory, trimming the fat in other words. While this is a smart thing to do to make these companies more efficient, in an economy that has unemployment spinning out of control, it may not be the best scenario. Each person that is laid off spends less money. With less money spent by that one person, the trickle down effect is drastic. Imagine how each person with a job spends a certain amount, each place they spend, someone else must work and is paid. They spend, others need jobs and the cycle continues. So imagine the effect of just one layoff.

In addition, cutting costs can only go so far. Think of it as a company on steroids in the near term. Yes, they look very strong but wait until certain things start to shrivel or the steroid supply ceases. This is right around the corner, once cost cutting can go no further. Eventually, there is nothing left to cut. So while earnings are blowing away estimates, the real key is to watch the revenue numbers. Within a quarter or two, earnings will start to lag as revenue continues to decline and there are no more costs to cut.

In many ways it is a double edged sword. Near term, the earnings are blowing out expectations, but as a result of the cost cutting, unemployment is spiking higher. This will cause the recession to last much longer. As I have pointed out, cutting costs to boost earnings is not showing the true nature of a company.

To give proof of this you only have to look at the earnings over the past couple weeks. Pick out any handful of companies that reported earnings. Most have blasted through earnings yet revenue was in line or missed.

Let's start with EI DuPont de Nemours & Co. (Symbol: DD). Analysts had projected that they would make $.53 on $7.10 billion in revenue. The stock reported earnings excluding items of $0.61 which beat estimates. However, revenue came in light at $7.09 billion.

Next, let's take a look at Coca Cola (Symbol: KO). Analysts estimated they would make $1.00 per share while raking in $10.95 billion in revenue. The company reported earnings per share at $1.02, beating by $.02 but revenue missed, coming in at $10.59 billion.

Last, take a look at Chipotle Mexican Grill (Symbol: CMG). Analyst expected earnings of $.88 per share on revenue of $391.2 million. When the company reported, they blew the earnings out of the water at $1.10 per share. However, revenue again came in light at $388.8 million.

These are just a few of the many earnings beats but revenue misses. As of now the market has swept the revenue misses under the rug. A rally on hope and ignorance continues. It will only last so long. The average investor has no clue as the media is pumping the recovery and the great earnings results. The cost cutting can only last another quarter or two and it will level off. After that, earnings could see a massive plunge. Contrary to many, I see no recovery starting yet. As long as the unemployment rate climbs, people will hold back from spending, not buy houses and continue to struggle to pay their bills.

Unfortunately, earnings numbers do lie and the wool is being successfully pulled over the average investors eyes. They have bought in, hook, line and sinker, putting their hard earned money at what could be a major top.


By: Gareth Soloway
President & CFO
InTheMoneyStocks.com

Weekend Technical Guidance Video - Stock Market Morphing?...Alerting To A Possible Major Move

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Friday, July 31, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Weekend Technical Guidance Video - Stock Market Morphing?...Alerting To A Possible Major Move

RealTick graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. ©1986-2009 townsend Analytics, Ltd. All Rights Reserved. RealTick is a registered trademark of Townsend Analytics, Ltd
 
Disney Profit Declines 26%

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Thursday, July 30, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Disney Profit Declines 26%Walt Disney Co.said Thursday that its third fiscal quarter profit declined 26% on a decrease in advertising sales at Disney's television networks, lower DVD sales and gains impacting the same quarter a year ago. The company earned $954 million or 51 cents a share, compared with a profit of $1.29 billion or 66 cents a share a year ago. Revenue fell 7% to $8.6 billion from $9.24 billion.
Disney Downgraded By J.P. Morgan

Posted by InTheMoneyStocks.com Thursday, July 30, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Disney Downgraded By J.P. MorganJ.P. Morgan cut their rating on Walt Disney Co. to underweight from neutral and set a December 2010 price target on Disney shares of $22.
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