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FB 4 (+5%) Z 9.76 (+10%) SCTY 5.25 (+11%) DD 2.65 (+4%) DVN -4.5 (-7%) TAN 4 (+12%) FEYE 4.2 (+17%) PEIX 2.2 (+23%) IBB 12 (+4%) QQQ 5.5 (+6%) SPY 9 (+5%) NTAP 2.51 (+6%) BIDU 12.54 (+6%) IYT 6.4 (+4%) SGG 2.33 (+5%) Options: MCP 0.23 (+57%) PSX -3.91 (-5%) BIDU 10 (+5%) SMH 1.82 (+4%) SYMC 1.13 (+5%) URBN 2.28 (+5%) Options: SWN 0.22 (+22%) SDRL -3.39 (-11%) CORN -3.02 (-11%) TMUS 1.23 (+4%) SWN -3.76 (-9%) SINA 0.25 (+1%) NUS 3 (+7%) CLF 1.31 (+9%) DNDN 0.22 (+16%) LUV -3.3 (-11%) CGA 0.6 (+20%) S 0.52 (+9%) X 2.45 (+6%) PHO 1.25 (+5%) FXE -2.95 (-2%) VXX 0.57 (+2%) YHOO 2.05 (+6%) DIS -6.2 (-7%) VXX 2.1 (+7%) SINA 2.4 (+4%) EWG 0.94 (+3%) BRK.B -5.1 (-4%) SPY 0.56 (+1%) Options: WFM 0.41 (+16%) EWC 1 (+3%) HIMX 0.57 (+9%) CVX 1.55 (+1%) UNG 0.07 (0%) Options: HPQ 0.3 (+34%) MMM 2.2 (+2%) FXC 0.6 (+1%) TBT -4.92 (-8%) IYT 4.3 (+2%) USO 0.62 (+1%) AXP -3.37 (-3%) CMG -77.75 (-13%) QCOM 3.55 (+4%) ORLY 3.9 (+3%) KO -1.74 (-4%) SNDK 10.65 (+10%) MA 3.42 (+5%) IBB 11.5 (+4%) CSCO 0.22 (+1%) RDY 3.36 (+8%) HDGE -0.57 (-5%) DD 2.4 (+4%) Options: CVX 0.18 (+12%) MU 0.8 (+2%) INTC -1.99 (-7%) VXX -5.5 (-15%) CLF 0.34 (+2%) FB -6.34 (-11%) TJX 0.78 (+1%) BA 4.9 (+4%) Options: IYT 0.4 (+26%) Options: DAL 1.05 (+100%) IYT -8.9 (-6%) CVX 2.2 (+2%) GE -0.48 (-2%) TWTR 2 (+6%) UNH 3.24 (+4%) TSN 2.2 (+5%) IWM 6.3 (+5%) WHR 8 (+5%) VXX -4.05 (-10%) FEYE -9.35 (-26%) CRM 2.64 (+5%) DANG 1.05 (+10%) WFM 0.51 (+1%) QCOM 4.35 (+5%) IBB 22 (+10%) NFLX 22 (+7%) SH 0.27 (+1%) IWM 5.35 (+5%) RIG 0.63 (+2%) MOS 0.77 (+2%) VXX 2.3 (+6%) NFLX 16.4 (+5%) GLD 1.75 (+1%) COG 1.07 (+2%) LNKD 17 (+11%) P 2.35 (+9%) VXX 2.2 (+5%) DDD 4.67 (+8%) FDX 2.46 (+2%) YHOO 3.6 (+9%) ADBE 2.62 (+4%) WDC -7.75 (-9%) PCLN 51 (+4%) FB 5.65 (+8%) AUY -1.34 (-13%) JJC 0.56 (+1%) SPY 1.6 (+1%) USO 0.37 (+1%) JO 3 (+8%) PCLN 42 (+3%) GILD 7.5 (+9%) PLUG 0.6 (+10%) PRGO -13.3 (-9%) VXX 2.4 (+5%) CORN 1.75 (+6%) BBBY 2.53 (+4%) TGT 0.00 (0%) HAL 0.4 (+1%) FCX 0.66 (+2%) MCP 0.32 (+7%) SINA 3 (+5%) PBR 0.56 (+5%) BA 5 (+4%) JCP -1.35 (-21%) PCLN 25 (+2%) BA 2 (+2%) ANF 2.3 (+7%) F 0.76 (+4%) AMZN 15 (+4%) VXX 3 (+7%) YHOO 2.17 (+5%) WYNN 3 (+2%) HAL 0.25 (+1%) AUY 0.6 (+7%) ROSG 0.95 (+30%) SINA -6.24 (-7%) TWTR 12 (+17%) ABIO 0.67 (+43%) CCXI 1 (+19%) TWGP 0.72 (+29%) TWTR 2.5 (+3%) NEWL 0.3 (+17%) WPRT -1.25 (-6%) ECTE 0.58 (+21%) FB 4.11 (+9%) CELG -15.66 (-10%)


Rant & Rave Blog

People Are Clueless About The Price Of Oil, This Is Why

Posted by Nicholas Santiago Thursday, June 09, 2016, 11:11AM ET

Read 1972 times

The psychology of people involved in the stock market never ceases to amaze me. On February 11, 2016 crude oil traded as low as $26.00 a barrel, but people in the stock market were terrified to buy it at that level. In fact, many of the financial talking heads on television were saying that oil would go down to $10.00 a barrel. These types of remarks caused people in the public to avoid investing in crude despite the commodity trading at new yearly lows and being severely oversold. Now crude is trading above $50.00 a barrel and people are afraid to sell it short despite crude rallying higher by nearly 100 percent since February.

Many of the financial talking heads are now saying that oil will go to $75.00 a barrel before peaking out. Isn’t it funny how these so called experts come up with these levels? What are they using to say these statements. The truth is that they are probably hoping it comes back to that level so there investments can work out or recover from the 2016 decline earlier this year. If anyone looks at a chart of crude oil they could clearly see oil has major resistance around the $50 to $55.00 dollar area. Today, crude oil is trading around $51.00 a barrel.

There are many factors that effect the price of crude oil. Some of these factors include oil production output, weather, geopolitical events, and the U.S. Dollar. Out of all of these factors the strength and weakness in the U.S. Dollar seems to be most important. Please understand, most of the oil in the world is traded in U.S. Dollars. So if the U.S. Dollar is strong against most other currencies in the world the oil price will likely decline. That was certainly the primary reason for the decline in crude throughout the past two years.

There are many ways to trade oil despite using oil futures these days. ETF's and ETN's such as the United States Oil Fund LP (ETF)(NYSEARCA:USO), iPath S&P GSCI Crude Oil Total Return(NYSEARCA:OIL), and the ProShares Ultra DJ-UBS Crude Oil(NYSEARCA:UCO) are just a few different vehicles that can be used to trade oil on the long side. Some short side trading equities for crude include the ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil ETF(NYSEARCA:SCO), and the DB Crude Oil Double Short ETN (NYSEARCA:DTO).

Full disclose: I currently own SCO shares.

 

You can find all of my swing trades on stocks in the Research Center here. And my options swing trades here.

 

 

Nicholas Santiago 

Chief Market Strategist

Inthemoneystocks.com

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