Track Record
FB 4 (+5%) Z 9.76 (+10%) SCTY 5.25 (+11%) DD 2.65 (+4%) DVN -4.5 (-7%) TAN 4 (+12%) FEYE 4.2 (+17%) PEIX 2.2 (+23%) IBB 12 (+4%) QQQ 5.5 (+6%) SPY 9 (+5%) NTAP 2.51 (+6%) BIDU 12.54 (+6%) IYT 6.4 (+4%) SGG 2.33 (+5%) Options: MCP 0.23 (+57%) PSX -3.91 (-5%) BIDU 10 (+5%) SMH 1.82 (+4%) SYMC 1.13 (+5%) URBN 2.28 (+5%) Options: SWN 0.22 (+22%) SDRL -3.39 (-11%) CORN -3.02 (-11%) TMUS 1.23 (+4%) SWN -3.76 (-9%) SINA 0.25 (+1%) NUS 3 (+7%) CLF 1.31 (+9%) DNDN 0.22 (+16%) LUV -3.3 (-11%) CGA 0.6 (+20%) S 0.52 (+9%) X 2.45 (+6%) PHO 1.25 (+5%) FXE -2.95 (-2%) VXX 0.57 (+2%) YHOO 2.05 (+6%) DIS -6.2 (-7%) VXX 2.1 (+7%) SINA 2.4 (+4%) EWG 0.94 (+3%) BRK.B -5.1 (-4%) SPY 0.56 (+1%) Options: WFM 0.41 (+16%) EWC 1 (+3%) HIMX 0.57 (+9%) CVX 1.55 (+1%) UNG 0.07 (0%) Options: HPQ 0.3 (+34%) MMM 2.2 (+2%) FXC 0.6 (+1%) TBT -4.92 (-8%) IYT 4.3 (+2%) USO 0.62 (+1%) AXP -3.37 (-3%) CMG -77.75 (-13%) QCOM 3.55 (+4%) ORLY 3.9 (+3%) KO -1.74 (-4%) SNDK 10.65 (+10%) MA 3.42 (+5%) IBB 11.5 (+4%) CSCO 0.22 (+1%) RDY 3.36 (+8%) HDGE -0.57 (-5%) DD 2.4 (+4%) Options: CVX 0.18 (+12%) MU 0.8 (+2%) INTC -1.99 (-7%) VXX -5.5 (-15%) CLF 0.34 (+2%) FB -6.34 (-11%) TJX 0.78 (+1%) BA 4.9 (+4%) Options: IYT 0.4 (+26%) Options: DAL 1.05 (+100%) IYT -8.9 (-6%) CVX 2.2 (+2%) GE -0.48 (-2%) TWTR 2 (+6%) UNH 3.24 (+4%) TSN 2.2 (+5%) IWM 6.3 (+5%) WHR 8 (+5%) VXX -4.05 (-10%) FEYE -9.35 (-26%) CRM 2.64 (+5%) DANG 1.05 (+10%) WFM 0.51 (+1%) QCOM 4.35 (+5%) IBB 22 (+10%) NFLX 22 (+7%) SH 0.27 (+1%) IWM 5.35 (+5%) RIG 0.63 (+2%) MOS 0.77 (+2%) VXX 2.3 (+6%) NFLX 16.4 (+5%) GLD 1.75 (+1%) COG 1.07 (+2%) LNKD 17 (+11%) P 2.35 (+9%) VXX 2.2 (+5%) DDD 4.67 (+8%) FDX 2.46 (+2%) YHOO 3.6 (+9%) ADBE 2.62 (+4%) WDC -7.75 (-9%) PCLN 51 (+4%) FB 5.65 (+8%) AUY -1.34 (-13%) JJC 0.56 (+1%) SPY 1.6 (+1%) USO 0.37 (+1%) JO 3 (+8%) PCLN 42 (+3%) GILD 7.5 (+9%) PLUG 0.6 (+10%) PRGO -13.3 (-9%) VXX 2.4 (+5%) CORN 1.75 (+6%) BBBY 2.53 (+4%) TGT 0.00 (0%) HAL 0.4 (+1%) FCX 0.66 (+2%) MCP 0.32 (+7%) SINA 3 (+5%) PBR 0.56 (+5%) BA 5 (+4%) JCP -1.35 (-21%) PCLN 25 (+2%) BA 2 (+2%) ANF 2.3 (+7%) F 0.76 (+4%) AMZN 15 (+4%) VXX 3 (+7%) YHOO 2.17 (+5%) WYNN 3 (+2%) HAL 0.25 (+1%) AUY 0.6 (+7%) ROSG 0.95 (+30%) SINA -6.24 (-7%) TWTR 12 (+17%) ABIO 0.67 (+43%) CCXI 1 (+19%) TWGP 0.72 (+29%) TWTR 2.5 (+3%) NEWL 0.3 (+17%) WPRT -1.25 (-6%) ECTE 0.58 (+21%) FB 4.11 (+9%) CELG -15.66 (-10%)

Rant & Rave Blog

XOM Dumping Out Slightly...Banks/Financials Super Strong Keeping Market Up On Light Volume

Posted by Sunday, May 03, 2009, 08:00PM ET

Read 277 times

XOM Dumping Out Slightly...Banks/Financials Super Strong Keeping Market Up On Light VolumeThe market and the ability to keep it up with light volume continues. Markets continue to trade at the highs of the day.  Minor pullbacks are met with more light volume buy programs.  Even with XOM selling slightly, it is not enough at this point as long as GS, WFC, BAC and other financial firms scream higher.  Interesting to note that the S&P downgraded a bunch of ratings on financials, BAC supposedly needs to raise money and mid day it was said that the government said WFC needs to as well.  This news means nothing in a light volume environment.  These stocks just scream to higher highs.  Some sort of irrational exhuberance in play here.  Respect the market at all costs in this light volume but be ready when volume comes back to play...the markets could be in trouble.

XOM Chart: One of the few weak plays today

RealTick graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. ©1986-2009 Townsend Analytics, Ltd. All Rights Reserved. RealTick is a registered trademark of Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Avoid The Wall Street Hype!

Posted by Sunday, May 03, 2009, 08:00PM ET

Read 293 times

Avoid The Wall Street Hype!

S&P Closes Higher, Up Now For The Year...All Saying Recession Over....I Say Not So Fast

Posted by Sunday, May 03, 2009, 08:00PM ET

Read 267 times

S&P Closes Higher, Up Now For The Year...All Saying Recession Over....I Say Not So FastThe light volume prop job that has helped this market rip higher today and over the last few weeks has been impressive to say the least. The media is claiming all is good, even many analysts on Wall Street have joined the hype. However, I have been in the business of trading far too long to believe the hype. Today we saw some slightly positive numbers in construction spending and homes sales. The media jumped on these numbers saying, the worst is behind, let the money flow again! In addition, WFC news briefly touched a mid day sell off when reports emerged they need to raise money to get their balance sheet in better shape. This news, which would bring dilution to the stock most likely, only caused a 10-20 minute sell off and then the market ripped higher. The volume has continued to be super light for up days of this magnitude. The gleeful cheering continues....I say... Not so fast! With 600 thousand plus new jobless claims still being filed each week and the unemployment rate this Thursday, this market is long over due for a reality check. Every depression and major recession has a mid-line massive rally. This looks to be the case. In fact, in the Great Depression, the market rallied up more than 50% before coming back down with a vengeance. Even Warren Buffet today cautioned that while the long term would be good (5 years from now), things will get worse before getting better. He mentioned that he saw no signs of consumers spending again, no signs of a recovery yet. The market does not care, this is a classic bear market rally which will test every bear out there. The key is the tipping point where bears start to turn bullish, bulls become happy, boisterous bulls....At this point the turn will happen. It is near, it is close, be ready. As the hype continues, be aware of it. Understand that the psychology of the markets needs every average investor to be bullish before the markets can be slammed again. Sadly, when the individual investor puts their money back in the market, after they pulled it out at the lows back in November or early March, that is when the turn will happen and markets will drop. It is all hype, recognize it and profit from it. Any way you cut it though, the more people out of jobs, the less spending will happen and the more foreclosures to come. Until hiring occurs, there will be no bottom in housing and no bottom the recession.

Strategic Hotel and Resorts Inc (BEE) Highlighted On Hidden Gems, Jumps 30% On First Day

Posted by Sunday, May 03, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Strategic Hotel and Resorts Inc (BEE) Highlighted On Hidden Gems, Jumps 30% On First DayStrategic Hotel and Resorts Inc (Symbol: BEE), jumped 30% after being featured on's Hidden Gems report for May 2009.  The stock, highlighed as a probable sympathy play to recent REIT stocks soaring of late, saw a massive surge in volume and gain on Monday, May 4, 2009.'s Hidden Gems features a stock or stocks each month that fly under the radar.  They are usually small/mid cap plays that have a high probability of a major move in the near term.  For April, the stock HDSN was featured at $1.50, this stock soared to a high of $1.97 during the month.  In February, the stocks X and NGAS were all highlighted as undervalued plays.  NGAS ran from under a dollar to a current price over $2, while U.S Steel ran from the $17 dollar highlight to a current price of over $31.  Join the Research Center to get the current and future Hidden Gems reports along with expert guidance and education.

Insider Selling Jumps to Highest Level Since 2007 (Update2)

Posted by Saturday, May 02, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Insider Selling Jumps to Highest Level Since 2007 (Update2)By: Michael Tsang and Eric Martin

Insider Selling Jumps to Highest Level Since 2007 (Update2)

April 24 (Bloomberg) -- Executives and insiders at U.S. companies are taking advantage of the steepest stock market gains since 1938 to unload shares at the fastest pace since the start of the bear market.

Gap Inc.’s founding family sold $45 million of shares in the largest U.S. clothing retailer this month, according to Securities and Exchange Commission filings compiled by Bloomberg. Daniel Warmenhoven, the chief executive officer at NetApp Inc., liquidated the most stock of the storage-computer maker in more than six years. Sales by the co-founders of Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. were the highest since at least 2001.

While the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbed 28 percent from a 12-year low on March 9, CEOs, directors and senior officers at U.S. companies sold $353 million of equities this month, or 8.3 times more than they bought, data compiled by Washington Service, a Bethesda, Maryland-based research firm, show. That’s a warning sign because insiders usually have more information about their companies’ prospects than anyone else, according to William Stone at PNC Financial Services Group Inc.

“They should know more than outsiders would, so you could take it as a signal that there is something wrong if they’re selling,” said Stone, chief investment strategist at PNC’s wealth management unit, which oversees $110 billion in Philadelphia. “Whether it’s a sustainable rebound is still in question. I’d prefer they were buying.”

Insiders Sell

Insiders from New York Stock Exchange-listed companies sold $8.32 worth of stock for every dollar bought in the first three weeks of April, according to Washington Service, which analyzes stock transactions of corporate insiders for more than 500 institutional clients.

That’s the fastest rate of selling since October 2007, when U.S. stocks peaked and the 17-month bear market that wiped out more than half the market value of U.S. companies began. The $42.5 million in insider purchases through April 20 would represent the smallest amount for a full month since July 1992, data going back more than 20 years show. That drop preceded a 2.4 percent slide in the S&P 500 in August 1992.

The index rose 1.7 percent to 866.23 today after the Federal Reserve said most banks that underwent stress tests hold enough capital and companies from Ford Motor Co. to American Express Co. posted better-than-estimated results.

Looking Forward

The S&P 500 has jumped 28 percent in 33 trading days, the sharpest rally since the 1930s, on speculation the longest recession since World War II will soon end.

Stocks rebounded as President Barack Obama outlined a $787 billion package of spending and tax cuts to stimulate growth, the Treasury unveiled plans to finance as much as $1 trillion in purchases of banks’ distressed assets and the Fed pledged to buy more than $1 trillion of Treasuries and bonds backed by mortgages to drive down interest rates.

With corporate America stuck in its seventh straight quarter of earnings decreases, the longest in seven decades, executives may have become too cautious, said Penn Capital Management’s Eric Green.

Investors are looking to the final quarter of the year, when S&P 500 companies will increase operating income by 71 percent, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. They forecast profits will fall 33 percent in the second quarter and 21 percent in the third.

“Things are a lot better than they were,” said Green, director of research at Penn Capital, which oversees $3 billion in Cherry Hill, New Jersey. Recent history also shows that “insiders have been wrong,” he said.

Confidence Game

Jeffrey Immelt, CEO of General Electric Co., purchased 50,000 shares at prices from $16.41 to $16.45 on Nov. 13, when the stock closed at $16.86. The shares have since fallen 28 percent after the Fairfield, Connecticut-based company reduced its dividend for the first time since 1938 and lost the AAA credit rating from S&P that it held for more than 50 years.

Insiders of consumer and technology companies have been selling the most stock relative to the amount they purchased this month, data compiled by Washington Service show.

John Fisher, Robert Fisher and William Fisher, whose parents Donald and Doris Fisher founded San Francisco-based Gap in 1969, sold a combined 2.99 million shares at between $15.11 and $15.36 a share on April 3 and April 17, SEC filings show. Gap rebounded 55 percent from its low on March 6. The stock gained 1.1 percent since the Fishers’ last sale.

Reasons to Sell

Gap spokesman Bill Chandler said that “from time to time, based upon the advice of financial advisers, the members of the Fisher family will decide to sell stock.”

Warren Eisenberg and Leonard Feinstein, who founded Union, New Jersey-based Bed Bath & Beyond in 1971, sold 1.05 million and 1.1 million shares at $30.90 apiece on April 9, the most since at least December 2001, the filings show.

The offerings came one day after Bed Bath & Beyond surged 24 percent, the biggest advance in nine years, on a smaller than estimated decline in fourth-quarter profit. Spokesman Ken Frankel said Eisenberg and Feinstein, who currently serve as co- chairmen of the largest U.S. home-furnishings retailer, sold for “estate-planning purposes and diversification.”

At NetApp, Warmenhoven sold 1.25 million shares, the most since at least 2002, for about $21.3 million between April 3 and April 21 at prices from $16.10 to $18.10 a share, the SEC filings show. Shares of the Sunnyvale, California-based company, up 49 percent from $12.52 on the March 9 stock market low, gained 3.3 percent since then.

Moving On

Warmenhoven sold shares he received from exercising stock options that were due to expire next month, according to an e- mailed response by Lindsey Smith, a spokeswoman for NetApp. He reaped a profit of about $7.3 million selling the shares at an average price of $17.08 apiece, based on the conversion price of $11.25 for options he held, the data show.

“They’re going to say, ‘Thank you very much,’ and move on to cash or something else,” said David W. James, who helps manage about $2 billion at James Investment Research Inc. in Xenia, Ohio. “This is not a situation that suggests to us we’re seeing an economic recovery.”


Posted by Friday, May 01, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Weekend Technical Analysis Video - Stress Test Results Next Week...Can The Markets Still Go Higher?

Posted by Friday, May 01, 2009, 08:00PM ET

Read 351 times

Weekend Technical Analysis Video - Stress Test Results Next Week...Can The Markets Still Go Higher?

RealTick graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. ©1986-2009 Townsend Analytics, Ltd. All Rights Reserved. RealTick is a registered trademark of Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Fortune Brands First Quarter Net Income Falls 94%

Posted by Thursday, April 30, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Fortune Brands First Quarter Net Income Falls 94%Fortune Brands on Friday reported its first quarter net income was $7.4 million or 5 cents a share compared to $120.5 million or 70 cents a share a year ago.Sales fell 20% to $1.4 billion from $1.8 billion last year.

Mastercard Says Revenue To Miss 2009 Target

Posted by Thursday, April 30, 2009, 08:00PM ET

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Mastercard Says Revenue To Miss 2009 TargetMastercard posted better than expected earnings but said revenue growth this year will fall short .Net income fell to $367 million or $2.80 per share,from $447 million or $3.37 per share a year ago.

Consumer Confidence Soars In April

Posted by Thursday, April 30, 2009, 08:00PM ET

Read 356 times

Consumer Confidence Soars In AprilConsumer confidence rose last month. The University Of Michigan Survey siad its final index of confidence rose to 65.1 in April from 57.3 in March. That was the highest since September 2008 and the biggest one month increase since October 2006.
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